Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.596248 1.824608 2.075334 2.371250 2.711241 3.089985 3.544380
2025-08-17 1.191078 1.471192 1.804112 2.229744 2.760644 3.402579 4.240090
2025-08-24 0.967371 1.275514 1.667112 2.202976 2.919988 3.850227 5.155163
2025-08-31 0.798459 1.113674 1.538079 2.154111 3.030393 4.239564 6.047632
2025-09-07 0.715767 1.049781 1.523376 2.248271 3.338011 4.928242 7.448708
2025-09-14 0.638187 0.978820 1.484610 2.296471 3.579138 5.547807 8.837279
2025-09-21 0.561607 0.896639 1.415175 2.283967 3.719733 6.026748 10.071764
2025-09-28 0.483322 0.800024 1.308853 2.195090 3.720671 6.276380 10.958940
2025-10-05 0.453886 0.778005 1.317945 2.294488 4.043706 7.095958 12.934862
2025-10-12 0.430010 0.761653 1.333256 2.404478 4.396817 8.010299 15.212620
2025-10-19 0.399496 0.729426 1.316311 2.453146 4.642961 8.760727 17.290489
2025-10-26 0.370514 0.696129 1.292829 2.485365 4.860050 9.481326 19.411897
2025-11-02 0.329561 0.636663 1.215996 2.409728 4.865405 9.808036 20.820055
2025-11-09 0.288455 0.572011 1.121712 2.287469 4.760453 9.899261 21.748158
2025-11-16 0.264033 0.537448 1.082157 2.271188 4.872730 10.455309 23.781884
2025-11-23 0.239614 0.499963 1.032241 2.226474 4.917452 10.871867 25.565978
2025-11-30 0.231258 0.494993 1.048779 2.327047 5.296583 12.080098 29.409224
2025-12-07 0.219245 0.480702 1.043716 2.378668 5.570877 13.087208 32.931626
2025-12-14 0.203285 0.455836 1.012647 2.366561 5.693264 13.752694 35.703106
2025-12-21 0.183106 0.419168 0.951052 2.274776 5.610048 13.906439 37.164522
2025-12-28 0.178350 0.417562 0.969434 2.378163 6.026371 15.367248 42.396744
2026-01-04 0.174406 0.417401 0.991114 2.492456 6.486754 17.008863 48.424037
2026-01-11 0.166744 0.407360 0.987911 2.543044 6.786786 18.269955 53.583654